Today, I am filled with hope, for no particular reason than my own convictions, and that is a wonderful feeling. There will always be something to fix, something to improve, disagreements, failures and disasters, but I am confident the truth, justice and resilience will prevail over mankind's ego and prove the highest nature of our spirit.
Happy Earth Day!
Metal Monkey 9
When Twitter is not enough to share something
Friday, 22 April 2016
Thursday, 24 April 2014
The Climate Conundrum
A bit late
on my monthly blog entry eh…Well, it was Earth Day the other day. What did you
do for your planet recently?
The IPCC recently released a grim report on the state of the planet. Anthropological
climate warming is real and if you don’t believe it, you either have your head
in the sand or are just plain dumb. I may sound harsh but it is a harsh reality
that we need to confront. I actually don’t know what’s worst, the planet
warming, or the staggering widespread scientific illiteracy of its citizen.
This
science is the same science that makes the combustion engine possible for you
to go to church or drive your kid to soccer practice, or make it convenient to
pick up your groceries. It is well understood. We know what will happen when we
step on the gas, or let go, in a general sense – it’s not magic, it’s not
political, it’s the nature of how things work, in this case, our planet. There
are even school science fair experiments to show adults how it works!
I won’t
pretend to do science with Google Images but here’s a simple visual compilation
to consider nonetheless:
I admit it
is open to correlation bias criticism – if you want real science, you should
check out the IPCC report. But I’d still like to make a ‘rapid’ point with this
image. In my view, it illustrates that we are messing with entropy, at least
locally, in our nice little “closed” system we call Earth; i.e. we are changing
the organization of stored energy and diffusing it in the atmosphere to
organize information (i.e. ourselves & the World around us). Add a positive
feedback loop through radiative forcing, and it’s no surprise the entropy of
the atmosphere is increasing, making it naturally more turbulent in our case. A turbulent
flow is by its nature irregular and random, and it can thus explain the
increasing frequency of ‘severe’, unforeseen, events. It takes time for a given
energy perturbation to cascade down the system to the dissipative scales. And
we don’t let it…
So we are
poised for radical change, but living in this Universe, aren’t we always? The typical
refrain sounds a bit as such: “Either WE change or the consequences around us
will impose uncomfortable change.”
There are
two things we can do IMO: 1) As the refrain says, we can try to
discipline everyone and rein in our enthusiasm for development, or 2) Perhaps
we could use our current cowboy attitude to improvise further and steer us
madly in a spectacular paradigm shift. Niels Bohr is quoted to have said that ‘an
expert is someone who has made all the mistakes in his field’ – perhaps it will
be necessary for us to bollix-up this planet to learn how to manage one
properly? It would be unfortunate, but the path to progress is not always
pretty. Good thing we are finding new planets nowadays – too bad they are so
far. The race is on then?
A lot of
pundits will argue that we will lose money by addressing these issues; that we
will slow down the economy. I beg to differ and this seems to be supported by
the IPCC report; the economy is fueled from people accomplishing things for
other people. Legislation sets the rules of the playing field and the goals and
to reach those goals people will come out and invest accordingly, given the
rules are properly enforced. So maybe we can just develop differently?
I think
governments need to ‘grow a set of balls’ and act with leadership and direction
in order to set the best policies in the interest of citizens and especially,
and more importantly perhaps, for the future of the species. But does that even
matter?
Regardless,
I feel that the World has been mostly rudderless lately, putting out fires (proverbial and literal), and
letting the free market grow in whatever direction it wanted – like weeds. It’s
time to roll up some sleeves and make a nice garden for ourselves. For some
reason though, I have a feeling outcome #2 is more likely…
No matter
the outcome, we better get used to fighting entropy, it will be recurrent in
our evolution… ;-) Let's see how long we can last...
Labels:
action,
change,
climate,
consumption,
economics,
economy,
energy,
entropy,
future,
IPCC,
oil,
politics,
radiative forcing,
severe events,
turbulence,
weather
Monday, 10 March 2014
The Pitfall of Expectations
Most people naturally have expectations. They expect the sun to be there when they wake up. They expect warm water for their shower, their loved ones to be still alive in a week, milk available at the grocery store, and many other things, some of which more trivial than others, and some they shouldn’t expect at all. Expectations are necessary to function sanely on a daily basis. Otherwise, people can, in the worst case, become excessively and unnecessarily paranoid.
However, in my view, having expectations is one of the strongest relationship abrasives. One of the ultimate joys of living is having the feeling of being free (I invite anyone to contest that). When person A expects something out of person B, person B’s freedom becomes constrained, or stressed, by the expectations of person A. To put it in another way, let person A and person B both define their versions of what they want to do or what they need to accomplish in order to achieve their respective personal happiness; if both visions are mutually exclusive, then both person A and person B can carry their vision satisfactorily in freedom to the highest degree. However, if the fulfillment of person A’s happiness is dependent on actions from person B, then person B’s ideal personal fulfillment is thus limited or constrained due to person A. In a general sense, expectations are part of a selfish, delusional behavior and represent a stress applied to people’s behaviors. It should be obvious then, that in a relationship without any form of expectations, all parties will keep their freedom and thus they will all likely be happier because there will be no opportunity for deception. There can only be deceptions if there are expectations.
But here’s the catch…and here lies a paradox; I said earlier that one of the joy of living is the freedom feeling. If being free contributes to our happiness, so does social contact. We are social animals. We yearn to love and more especially to be loved. So we enter into many social contracts to fulfill our wants and desires. Since we all come from different backgrounds and [sarcasm] each one of us knows best how to live [/sarcasm], a complex gambling game sprouts up. The famous lyrics from the group ‘NIRVANA’ come to mind: “Come, as you are, as I want you to be”. We jostle, trick and manipulate words and actions in order to fit in. To win. Some push their ideas aggressively. Some play a quiet game. Others don’t want to play the game. There are winners and losers, and they’re not always the same. I feel it’s alright to know what we like and dislike. But I think it’s not alright to impose these things on others. To do so is selfish.
When selfishness and its ramifications are fully understood and accepted, the veil of expectation falls and relationships become less strained. Controlling one’s expectations, and even abolishing them altogether, is, in my mind, the true moral high ground of altruism; not giving $50 to a charity and patting ourselves on the back and boasting about it at some cocktail.
In conclusion, here is an analogy that my mother presented to me as a child: “Relationships are like a bird. The bird can chose to land in your hand, but if it doesn’t you shouldn’t waste your time chasing it, you will just scare it away more. Once it’s in your hand, if you leave your hand wide open and do nothing, it might likely fly away. Alternately, if you close your hand tight to trap the bird, it will probably chirp madly and try to bite you; it won’t be happy. But if you cusp your hand lightly and show the bird some affection and devotion, it might stick around a bit longer.”
However, in my view, having expectations is one of the strongest relationship abrasives. One of the ultimate joys of living is having the feeling of being free (I invite anyone to contest that). When person A expects something out of person B, person B’s freedom becomes constrained, or stressed, by the expectations of person A. To put it in another way, let person A and person B both define their versions of what they want to do or what they need to accomplish in order to achieve their respective personal happiness; if both visions are mutually exclusive, then both person A and person B can carry their vision satisfactorily in freedom to the highest degree. However, if the fulfillment of person A’s happiness is dependent on actions from person B, then person B’s ideal personal fulfillment is thus limited or constrained due to person A. In a general sense, expectations are part of a selfish, delusional behavior and represent a stress applied to people’s behaviors. It should be obvious then, that in a relationship without any form of expectations, all parties will keep their freedom and thus they will all likely be happier because there will be no opportunity for deception. There can only be deceptions if there are expectations.
But here’s the catch…and here lies a paradox; I said earlier that one of the joy of living is the freedom feeling. If being free contributes to our happiness, so does social contact. We are social animals. We yearn to love and more especially to be loved. So we enter into many social contracts to fulfill our wants and desires. Since we all come from different backgrounds and [sarcasm] each one of us knows best how to live [/sarcasm], a complex gambling game sprouts up. The famous lyrics from the group ‘NIRVANA’ come to mind: “Come, as you are, as I want you to be”. We jostle, trick and manipulate words and actions in order to fit in. To win. Some push their ideas aggressively. Some play a quiet game. Others don’t want to play the game. There are winners and losers, and they’re not always the same. I feel it’s alright to know what we like and dislike. But I think it’s not alright to impose these things on others. To do so is selfish.
When selfishness and its ramifications are fully understood and accepted, the veil of expectation falls and relationships become less strained. Controlling one’s expectations, and even abolishing them altogether, is, in my mind, the true moral high ground of altruism; not giving $50 to a charity and patting ourselves on the back and boasting about it at some cocktail.
In conclusion, here is an analogy that my mother presented to me as a child: “Relationships are like a bird. The bird can chose to land in your hand, but if it doesn’t you shouldn’t waste your time chasing it, you will just scare it away more. Once it’s in your hand, if you leave your hand wide open and do nothing, it might likely fly away. Alternately, if you close your hand tight to trap the bird, it will probably chirp madly and try to bite you; it won’t be happy. But if you cusp your hand lightly and show the bird some affection and devotion, it might stick around a bit longer.”
Saturday, 8 February 2014
The Management Paradox
There are ultimately two types of management: autocracy and democracy. All other forms of direction, government and decision-making processes are, fundamentally, derivatives of these two classes, or a grey-zone intermixing of the two (you can read about the semantic subtleties on Wikipedia or elsewhere...).
For autocracy, you have a central figure, or leader, that decides for the group according to his/her own beliefs; for simplicity, let’s assume this leader essentially ignores all other viewpoints and ideas.
For democracy, you have a decisional process that encompasses the group; there is deliberation with all members on the issue at stake and a consensus is reached. The ‘amount’ of majority required to declare a ‘consensus’ can vary from system to system and is categorized by arbitrary labels.
Both forms of leadership are problematic in their absolute form. The underlying duality is caused by an opposition of efficiency (time of decision) vs. accuracy (quality of decision). Autocracy is a much faster decisional process but can be blindsided by a lack of perspective that democracy can provide. The simplest compromise is to literally “meet in the middle”; by creating a hierarchy composed of a leader surrounded by ‘experts’, or counselors. This can be loosely defined as an ‘Oligarchy’. Without doing a scientific survey, one can presume that a majority of political systems and private management structures fall in a form of oligarchy. Furthermore, an oligarchy can function within a democratic system. But oligarchy is closer to autocracy than democracy. It is a compromise, thus it is imperfect.
That’s what our political systems are today: compromises (or opportunism in the case of totalitarian tyrannies). So how do you reconcile timely decision-making processes with a more democratic approach? The simple answer currently is that you cannot. Democratic deliberation is a time-consuming process. You have to be ready to spend the time, and resources (referendums are expensive). (Note: this could change in the future given emerging big-data capabilities),
The complex answer requires an understanding of decision-making at a smaller scale. When a boss and two of his employees face a problem, it can be resolved in three different ways:
1. The boss can dictate how to solve the problem without consulting his employees; this is essentially autocratic behavior. The boss is acting based solely on his own preconceptions, beliefs education and experience; he is acting according to his ego. This is a typical response of men that are given or achieve roles of power, but do not originally possess strong moral ethics, or at least a sufficient ‘compassionate’ sense. Ego is an emotional response to power and although successful in varying frequency, it can lead to inaccurate, brash and often damaging decisions for the employees or even damaging to the ‘whole’ or the ‘future’. The boss may be convinced that he is using a ‘flawless’ rational thought process, yet the output is severely hampered by data gaps. The reason for this is a lack of perspective. It is practically impossible for a single person to know absolutely all variables of a complex problem. Analogously, it is for a similar problem that more than one camera are used at sports events.
2. In the second scenario, the boss can leave the decision entirely to its employees and then let it happen without any questions. This could be considered as a purely democratic process, but is in fact not perfect because the involvement of everyone (including the boss) is not achieved – in a large population, this could actually be considered anarchy. The pitfall is that the employees may come up with a solution that is ultimately detrimental to the company, or even to themselves (to the whole, or future) because they lack information/knowledge/wisdom that only the boss has (the leading figure is usually not in that position because of sheer luck! and even then, there is an upper layer of information that remains inaccessible).
3. The third decisional process can be presented as the boss discussing with his employees and reaching a consensus or compromise. In this scenario, the employees can propose solutions, but the boss may put their ideas in perspective and explain why he thinks it might work or not. It is a highly logical, inclusive, rational process granted that all the information is “put on the table”. In a small group, this is probably the best way to solve problems.
It should be clear from these three scenarios, that what plagues both democracy and autocracy is information alienation. On one hand, we have a boss, or manager, that may lack some hands-on ‘nuts-&-bolts’ detailed information; he is disconnected from the ‘reality’. On the other, we have employees that may lack ‘big-picture’ or larger-scale mechanism knowledge; they are disconnected from the whole. It is only by bridging the two parties together that a truly best solution can be achieved with greatest confidence. This is what I would call complete information consolidation (CIC). I believe that CIC management is the next step in the evolution of governance of our civilization and businesses. The challenge is to achieve complete bilateral information transparency across the system’s hierarchy and protect the integrity of this information. It is a big challenge, but I believe it can be accomplished.
For autocracy, you have a central figure, or leader, that decides for the group according to his/her own beliefs; for simplicity, let’s assume this leader essentially ignores all other viewpoints and ideas.
For democracy, you have a decisional process that encompasses the group; there is deliberation with all members on the issue at stake and a consensus is reached. The ‘amount’ of majority required to declare a ‘consensus’ can vary from system to system and is categorized by arbitrary labels.
Both forms of leadership are problematic in their absolute form. The underlying duality is caused by an opposition of efficiency (time of decision) vs. accuracy (quality of decision). Autocracy is a much faster decisional process but can be blindsided by a lack of perspective that democracy can provide. The simplest compromise is to literally “meet in the middle”; by creating a hierarchy composed of a leader surrounded by ‘experts’, or counselors. This can be loosely defined as an ‘Oligarchy’. Without doing a scientific survey, one can presume that a majority of political systems and private management structures fall in a form of oligarchy. Furthermore, an oligarchy can function within a democratic system. But oligarchy is closer to autocracy than democracy. It is a compromise, thus it is imperfect.
That’s what our political systems are today: compromises (or opportunism in the case of totalitarian tyrannies). So how do you reconcile timely decision-making processes with a more democratic approach? The simple answer currently is that you cannot. Democratic deliberation is a time-consuming process. You have to be ready to spend the time, and resources (referendums are expensive). (Note: this could change in the future given emerging big-data capabilities),
The complex answer requires an understanding of decision-making at a smaller scale. When a boss and two of his employees face a problem, it can be resolved in three different ways:
1. The boss can dictate how to solve the problem without consulting his employees; this is essentially autocratic behavior. The boss is acting based solely on his own preconceptions, beliefs education and experience; he is acting according to his ego. This is a typical response of men that are given or achieve roles of power, but do not originally possess strong moral ethics, or at least a sufficient ‘compassionate’ sense. Ego is an emotional response to power and although successful in varying frequency, it can lead to inaccurate, brash and often damaging decisions for the employees or even damaging to the ‘whole’ or the ‘future’. The boss may be convinced that he is using a ‘flawless’ rational thought process, yet the output is severely hampered by data gaps. The reason for this is a lack of perspective. It is practically impossible for a single person to know absolutely all variables of a complex problem. Analogously, it is for a similar problem that more than one camera are used at sports events.
2. In the second scenario, the boss can leave the decision entirely to its employees and then let it happen without any questions. This could be considered as a purely democratic process, but is in fact not perfect because the involvement of everyone (including the boss) is not achieved – in a large population, this could actually be considered anarchy. The pitfall is that the employees may come up with a solution that is ultimately detrimental to the company, or even to themselves (to the whole, or future) because they lack information/knowledge/wisdom that only the boss has (the leading figure is usually not in that position because of sheer luck! and even then, there is an upper layer of information that remains inaccessible).
3. The third decisional process can be presented as the boss discussing with his employees and reaching a consensus or compromise. In this scenario, the employees can propose solutions, but the boss may put their ideas in perspective and explain why he thinks it might work or not. It is a highly logical, inclusive, rational process granted that all the information is “put on the table”. In a small group, this is probably the best way to solve problems.
It should be clear from these three scenarios, that what plagues both democracy and autocracy is information alienation. On one hand, we have a boss, or manager, that may lack some hands-on ‘nuts-&-bolts’ detailed information; he is disconnected from the ‘reality’. On the other, we have employees that may lack ‘big-picture’ or larger-scale mechanism knowledge; they are disconnected from the whole. It is only by bridging the two parties together that a truly best solution can be achieved with greatest confidence. This is what I would call complete information consolidation (CIC). I believe that CIC management is the next step in the evolution of governance of our civilization and businesses. The challenge is to achieve complete bilateral information transparency across the system’s hierarchy and protect the integrity of this information. It is a big challenge, but I believe it can be accomplished.
Thursday, 7 November 2013
A shameless attack on the pillars of physics
A preamble:
I do not
hold a Phd. in…anything. Heck, I don’t even have a master’s degree. My lack of
formal degrees or specialization merely suggest a slight laziness of a kind ;-)
But that doesn’t stop me from having a deep genuine interest in science and a
passionate curiosity about the nature of reality. As the late Jean-Jacques
Cousteau once said: “What is a scientist
after all? It is a curious man looking through the keyhole of nature, trying to
understand what’s going on.” Of course, one needs to look with a logical
mind. I think I have a smidgeon of that too. But sometimes, logic needs to be
trumped momentarily by imagination (and I seem to have way more of that!), to
consider alternatives, the “what-ifs?” that are fundamental to the momentum in
science.
I have such
a “what-if” idea and I’d like to share it.
I am but a
humble geophysicist, working with applied physics in the pursuit of mineral exploration.
And even here, I am somewhat of an impostor, having actually completed a
bachelor in Earth Sciences rather than pure geophysics. Since I’m in the
business of finding NiS, I get to work with electromagnetism a lot and
experience firsthand a series of wave-particle causes/effects related to that. I
suppose some of my hobbies also benefit my perspective: photography and music
(both fundamental expressions of a frequency nature – light and sound). I’m
clearly aware of my blatant ignorance in many topics and on the details of
topics that are even close to my profession and hobbies. So the ideas I’d like
to bounce around are not rooted in mathematical or even scientific rigor, but
are rather philosophical in nature. Please don’t hold it against me…
Ok, enough
preliminaries. On to the big ideas…
Standing on the
shoulders of giants
Einstein’s
famous equation E=mc2 has to be the epitome of contemporary pop-culture
physics (sorry Newton, you lived in another era…honorable mention to Hawking).
It revolutionized our perception of our reality and kindled new exciting
research, culminating, it can be argued, to quantum theory and other fun stuff
like string theory and quantum gravity loops etc. But it also created all
kinds of puzzles for many of the smartest minds on the planet that have
since tackled these topics. I feel we are now at an impasse such as we were
with Newtonian physics. C’est à dire,
the equations that we use are good at approximating
results; hence the success in field experiments, but there’s something missing.
The brightest minds already know this and are working hard at it.
Another language
What if we
only had to change our language
slightly in order to shift our perception to another level? Akin to what
Einstein did with relativity and special relativity – granted he did this with
more mathematical rigor. I feel - and I’m not alone nor the first - that a
major problem in our perception and understanding of ‘reality’ is our
propensity to believe space-time exists and is the fabric of reality and use that
as the fundamental benchmark. It is forgivable. After all, our biology and
resulting perception of the electromagnetic spectrum and matter is inescapable.
Yet, we have transcended that limitation greatly with mathematical tools,
technological prowess, general cleverness and imagination. Quantum theory is a
good example. It is only burgeoning and could soon propel us out of the bend on
Moore’s Law curve on an exponential upshot of evolution. Things could change
quickly.
Articles
questioning the existence of time and/or space are increasingly popping up in
the general culture, trickling down from the scientific ivory towers. Time:
that pervasive property that seems to enslave our existence and destiny from a
beginning to an end. Some have good arguments to suggest it doesn’t exist, such
as David Deutsch. Others say space and time cannot coexist. Space: that vessel that holds us and all the things
dear to our hearts, and the rest, as a ‘bubble’ we can roam and the ‘where’
where “stuff happens”.
Breaking for new
ground
This is
where I want to take the metaphysical sledgehammer out and support Bohm in his
quest for truth: I would like to encourage, as others are increasingly doing,
that the fabric of reality is simply energy and that space (at least as defined
as the navigable topology of matter) and time (the sequencing of ‘events’) both
don’t exist (they may be emergent or perceptual by-products/illusions like some
have suggested).
Rather,
let’s imagine that energy is singular and expressed ‘quantum-ly’ in a
non-linear particle-wave duality. This may set up Einstein’s famous equation
for a makeover, because although accurate, there’s more to it in my intuition…
And this is
where I’m afraid I can only offer philosophical leads and that my personal computation capacities dry up…
·
Instead
of time, could we speak in terms of polarization?
– we may perceive time through the frequency expression of energy; the
non-intuitive concept here will be to contend that frequency is still a valid
phenomenon even if time doesn’t exist fundamentally.
·
Instead
of matter/space, should we look at ‘nodes’
or equilibrium/stability plateaus? Chemistry already has a good heads-up on
this with the periodic table (they’re only concentrating on one scale however)
– the order hierarchy of energy has been alluded to before – in that sense,
what do Moore’s law, evolution (e.g. human brain) and capacitors have in
common? The expression of energy as hierarchal organization of complexity. Why
does this happen? Have a look at this video. Quantum loops gravity theory is interesting
in the perspective of a feedback loop probabilistic nature of everything – how
the energy turbulence (spin foam) interacts with itself to produce higher order
patterns;
·
Understanding
and reconciling the electromagnetic field with the gravity field seems crucial because
fundamentally there’s only particles and
waves expressed from the singular energy source – these guys might be on tosomething…?:
·
Since
I contend that space-time doesn’t exist, it therefore cannot be bent – rather, I propose that fields are perturbed and we may need to start discussing interference, noise, harmonics, timbre, power/amplitude, decay,
lensing, feedback, filtering, tuning, modulation, attenuation, shielding and
the like – but on a mathematical basis addressed in the cosmological energy
context.
·
Looking
at the principle of convolution in
light of this thinking may be useful; i.e. the Universe we experience could in
fact be an energy source that is convolved – the question would then be, what
created a point energy source to convolve?
·
Could
we then express E=mc2 as a probability density function in order to
bring in what is observed at the quantum level? I.e.: to define the expression
of the energy convolution. Could we use a generalized Gram-Charlier expansion?
·
Regarding
the convolution lead, what about looking at the cosmological constant as noise
(i.e. feedback loops) – but where does it come from? What does the presence of
noise mean? Given an infinite nature, is the Universe just noise fundamentally,
with the emergence of any pattern inevitable?
My hope is
that minds smarter than my own will have the benevolence to consider this set
of ideas seriously and indulge work on it somehow. In this aim, I have
metaphorically base-jumped off a mountain without a parachute and sent it to
the following physicists and mathematicians on my birthday, September 9th, 2013
in order to ridicule myself:
Joseph
Polchinski - Professor of Physics, UCSBSean Carroll - Physicist, California Institute of Technology
Steve Giddings - Professor, Department of Physics, University of California
Nathan Seiberg – Physicist, Institute for Advanced Study
Abhay Ashtekar - Eberly Professor of Physics and Director of the Institute for Gravitational Physics and Geometry, Penn State
Lee Smolin - Founding and Senior Faculty member, Perimeter Institute for Theoretical Physics
John D. Barrow – Physicist, Dept. of Applied Mathematics & Theoretical Physics, Centre for Mathematical Sciences, Cambridge University
Andreas Albrecht - Professor of Physics, UC Davis
Terrence Tao - Professor at the Department of Mathematics, UCLA
Christopher Hirata – Mathematician, Caltech
Simon Saunders - Professor of Philosophy of Physics, Oxford
Eleanor Knox – Research fellow at the Institute of Philosophy, King’s College London
David Deutsch - Physicist at the University of Oxford
Steven Weinberg – Professor of physics, University of Texas
Willy Fischler - Professor of physics, University of Texas
Jacques Distler - Professor of physics, University of Texas
E. C. George Sudarshan - Professor of physics, University of Texas
Cecile DeWitt-Morette - Professor Emerita, University of Texas
Lawrence C. Shepley – Retired Associate Professor, University of Texas
Arno Bohm - Professor of physics, University of Texas
Duane Dicus - Professor of physics, University of Texas
Brian Greene - Professor Mathematics & Physics, Columbia University
Please do
share further if you think someone you know is genuinely interested in these
ideas. I am merely seeking the truth, which I am not finding online ;-). I wish
I had the ability to expand my perception to a more useful form but simpleton words
will have to do for now I’m afraid…the essence is in what is imagined...
We do not
die. We deconvolve or attenuate. For the privileged observer, given infinity, noise
is everything, and it can be wonderful.
Mathieu
Landry
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)